Managed Care · NC

North Carolina

Saturated · score 48

MA penetration is above average — competition is high, focus on plan-specific wins.

State MA penetration
57.4%
National rank #7 · National avg 47.8%
+9.61 pp vs national
1,304,578
MA beneficiaries (rolled up)
2,272,222
Medicare eligibles
100
Counties indexed
418
SNFs in state
MA beneficiaries · 2016–2022
20162017201820192020202120221,033,740562,542
YoY change: +83.8%
SNF utilization rate (MA enrollees)
20162017201820192020202120220.03880.0294
Share of MA beneficiaries with a SNF stay each year (CMS MA GV PUF).

Most saturated counties

  • Rockingham
    19,130 of 25,101 eligibles
    76.2%
  • Surry
    13,390 of 17,914 eligibles
    74.8%
  • Yadkin
    7,103 of 9,531 eligibles
    74.5%
  • Robeson
    19,222 of 25,992 eligibles
    74.0%
  • Randolph
    24,409 of 33,980 eligibles
    71.8%
  • Guilford
    76,874 of 107,078 eligibles
    71.8%
  • Alamance
    26,892 of 37,756 eligibles
    71.2%
  • Davidson
    29,053 of 41,017 eligibles
    70.8%
  • Stokes
    9,120 of 12,964 eligibles
    70.3%
  • Forsyth
    56,471 of 81,562 eligibles
    69.2%

Highest opportunity counties

  • Dare
    11,125 eligibles · 2,887 enrolled
    25.9%
  • Camden
    2,421 eligibles · 771 enrolled
    31.9%
  • Currituck
    6,903 eligibles · 2,226 enrolled
    32.3%
  • Carteret
    22,177 eligibles · 8,710 enrolled
    39.3%
  • Craven
    27,764 eligibles · 11,140 enrolled
    40.1%
  • Pamlico
    4,654 eligibles · 1,924 enrolled
    41.3%
  • Polk
    7,191 eligibles · 2,980 enrolled
    41.4%
  • Swain
    4,182 eligibles · 1,783 enrolled
    42.6%
  • Gates
    2,793 eligibles · 1,192 enrolled
    42.7%
  • Perquimans
    4,358 eligibles · 1,862 enrolled
    42.7%

Top MA payers in North Carolina

1,340,452 total MA enrolled

Top-rated SNFs in North Carolina

418 total
Source: CMS MA State/County Penetration (Aug 2025). Secondary metrics from CMS Medicare Advantage Geographic Variation PUF (2016–2022). Penetration is computed by rolling up county-level CMS-published MA enrolled / Medicare eligibles. Trend chart spans 2016–2022.

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